Data Dan’s Week 12 Picks

November 17, 2016

 

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Had to take a week off last week after another atrocious week of college football picks to lick my wounds and do some soul searching.  After winning the money back I lost on college betting on MMA and the NFL over the weekend, I decided I still like gambling!  LETS DO THIS SHIT – week 12 picks are:

Arkansas State @ Troy: Troy -8
Value: 88
Sun Belt conference Thursday night special! Troy is fresh off a close win over Appalachian State and have won seven straight overall.  Arkansas State meanwhile started 0-4 but has come on strong over the latter half of the year.  Our projections like Troy on both sides of the ball and expect them to win by two touchdowns.
Bet: 1 unit
 
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Buffalo @ Western Michigan: Over 60
 
Value: 83
 
Where is the love for the Western Michigan Broncos in the College Football Playoff?! 10-0 and they have been curb stomping teams for the most part.  The Broncos put up 37 points last week against Kent State which was their lowest total since week 2.  The line for this game is -34.5 so Vegas expects them to roll Buffalo with ease.  A couple garbage time scores for Buffalo puts this game over the total.
Bet: 1 unit
 
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Air Force @ San Jose State: Air Force -10
 
Value: 90 (Bet of the Week)
 
Generally speaking, teams that are named [insert random city name] state are extremely shitty teams.  San Jose State is no exception having gone 3-7 on the year.  While they have remained competitive in their last 2 games, our projections like Air Force as a far superior team and expect them to roll.
 
Bet: 1.5 units
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Bonus NFL quick hitters:
 
Lions -7 (TEASER ALERT)
Chiefs -7.5 (TEASER ALERT)
Houston +6
 
Last week: 2-4
Overall: 18-23-1
Bet of the week: 3-2

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